The New Orleans Saints (2-0) hit the road looking to stay undefeated when they travel to take on the Green Bay Packers (1-1) on Sunday in a Week 3 cross-division NFC matchup. The Saints are coming off a hard-fought 20-17 win over the Carolina Panthers, while the Packers are aiming to rebound from a fourth quarter collapse that resulted in a 25-24 loss to the Atlanta Falcons. These teams last met in 2021, with the Saints notching a 38-3 victory. Green Bay leads the all-time series 17-10.
Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET at Lambeau Field. Green Bay is favored by 1 point in the latest Saints vs. Packers odds, and the over/under for total points scored is 42.5. Before making any Packers vs. Saints picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the computer simulation model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 164-117 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 18-9 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Saints vs. Packers and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 3 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Saints vs. Packers:
- Saints vs. Packers spread: Packers -1
- Saints vs. Packers over/under: 42.5 points
- Saints vs. Packers money line: Packers -117, Saints -102
- Saints vs. Packers picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Saints vs. Packers live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why the Saints can cover
The Derek Carr era has gotten off to a hot start in New Orleans. The 32-year-old veteran hasn’t been particularly sharp through two games, but he has been efficient enough for New Orleans to win both of its games. Chris Olave (14 catches, 198 yards), Michael Thomas (12 catches, 116 yards), and Rashid Shaheed (9 catches, 152 yards, 1 TD) give the Saints one of the most talented wide receiver trios in the NFL.
The main reason for the Saints’ early season success has been their play on the defensive side of the ball. New Orleans has allowed 277.5 total yards (175.5 passing, 102 rushing) and 16 points per game. New Orleans is facing a banged up Green Bay offense dealing with injuries to David Bakhtiari (knee, questionable), Aaron Jones (hamstring, questionable) and Christian Watson (hamstring, questionable). See which team to pick here.
Why the Packers can cover
Quarterback Jordan Love has played at a high level in his first season as Green Bay’s full time starting quarterback. Through two weeks, Love has completed 29 of 52 pass attempts for 396 yards and six touchdowns. His quarterback rating of 118.7 leads the NFL, and he has yet to commit a turnover.
Love’s top two targets have been wide receivers Romeo Doubs (six catches, 56 yards, two touchdowns) and Jayden Reed (six catches, 85 yards, two touchdowns). Rookie tight end Luke Musgrave has looked like a potential Pro Bowl caliber player and Jones remains one of the league’s top all-purpose running backs. See which team to pick here.
How to make Saints vs. Packers picks
The model has simulated Packers vs. Saints 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning Under on the point total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only see the model’s Packers vs. Saints pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Packers vs. Saints on Sunday, and which side of the spread is hitting nearly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Saints vs. Packers spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 164-117 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
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Author: Scout Staff
September 23, 2023 | 10:20 am
