Six AFC teams are 7-6 as Week 15 of the 2023 NFL season arrives. On Saturday, two of those squads will meet at Lucas Oil Stadium in a highly anticipated matchup. The Pittsburgh Steelers and Indianapolis Colts will square off in the second game of a Saturday NFL tripleheader with playoff implications on the line. Pittsburgh is 3-2 on the road seeking to extend its franchise streak to 20 straight seasons with at least eight wins. Indianapolis is 2-4 at home and 4-1 in the last five games overall.
Kickoff is at 4:30 p.m. ET. For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Colts as one-point favorites, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 42.5 in the latest Steelers vs. Colts odds. Before you make any Colts vs. Steelers picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 15 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 176-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 30-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Steelers vs. Colts and just locked in its picks and NFL predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Steelers vs. Colts:
- Steelers vs. Colts spread: Colts -1
- Steelers vs. Colts over/under: 42.5 points
- Steelers vs. Colts money line: Colts -120, Steelers +100
- PIT: Steelers are 7-6 against the spread in 2023
- IND: Colts are 8-5 against the spread in 2023
- Steelers vs. Colts picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Steelers can cover
History is on the side of the Steelers. Pittsburgh has won eight straight games against Indianapolis, now leading the all-time series by a 21-6 margin. The Steelers are also 12-2 in the last 14 games against AFC South opponents, while the Colts are just 2-12 in their last 14 games against AFC North teams. Those two wins for Indianapolis came by only seven combined points, and the Colts are yielding 27.5 points per game in those 14 outings against AFC North foes.
Pittsburgh is elite in ball security, leading the league with only 11 turnovers this season. That includes only three giveaways in the last six games combined. The Steelers also have a cushy matchup against the Colts, with Indianapolis performing at a suboptimal level on defense. The Colts are No. 29 in scoring defense, giving up 25.4 points per game, and opponents have averaged more than 28 points per game at Lucas Oil Stadium this season. Indianapolis is also No. 25 or worse in total yards allowed, first downs allowed, rushing yards allowed, and rushing touchdowns allowed. See which team to pick here.
Why the Colts can cover
Indianapolis has a robust passing attack, headlined by Michael Pittman Jr. at the wide receiver position. Pittman Jr. is No. 4 in the NFL with 95 receptions this season and has the most games (10) with at least eight receptions this season. That includes six straight games with eight or more catches and Pittman also ranks in the top 10 among qualified players in averaging 10.4 yards per touch.
The Colts have scored 20 points or more in 11 games this season, tied for most in the NFL, and are averaging more than 335 total yards per contest. In contrast, Pittsburgh has scored 18 or fewer points in four straight games and is averaging only 16.2 points per game and 1.31 points per offensive possession this season. Pittsburgh is also second-worst in the NFL in red zone efficiency (34.8%) and in the bottom five in first downs, passing yards, and passing touchdowns. See which team to pick here.
How to make Steelers vs. Colts picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the point total, with three players projected for at least 49 rushing yards. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model’s picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Steelers vs. Colts on Saturday, and which side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Steelers vs. Colts spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that is up well over $7,000 since its inception, and find out.
Go to Source
Author: CBS Sports Staff
December 16, 2023 | 12:30 pm
