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Giants vs. Vikings prediction, odds, line, spread, time: 2024 NFL picks, Week 1 best bets from proven model

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The New York Giants look to open the 2024 season with a home victory against the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday. The Giants finished 6-11 last year and look to get back to being a playoff contender in the NFC as they were in 2022. The Vikings were 7-10 last season and is now without rookie first round pick, quarterback J.J. McCarthy, for the season following knee surgery. Minnesota has won four of the last five matchups, though New York won most recently, a 31-24 victory in the Wild Card Playoffs in January 2023.

Kickoff from MetLife Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET. The Vikings are 1.5-point road favorites in the latest Minnesota vs. New York odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points is 41. Before making any Vikings vs. Giants picks,ย you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 35-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP!

Now, the model has set its sights on Vikings vs. Giants and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 1 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Giants vs. Vikings:

  • Giants vs. Vikings spread: Vikings -1.5
  • Giants vs. Vikings over/under: 41 points
  • Giants vs. Vikings money line: Vikings -123, Giants +103
  • Giants vs. Vikings picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Vikings can cover

Minnesota has the best player on the field on Sunday in wide receiver Justin Jefferson. Despite missing seven games last season, Jefferson still managed to top the 100 yard mark in five games and surpass 1,000 yards receiving (68-1074-5). Along with second year wide receiver Jordan Addison (70-911-10 last year), Minnesota has one of the more feared wide receiver duos in the NFL.ย 

What will be key the Vikings is quarterback play, now headed by free agent acquisition Sam Darnold. The former No. 3 overall pick in the 2018 draft, Darnold is looking to re-energize his career, especially with McCarthy out for the season. He has never played more than 13 games in a season nor surpassed 3,100 passing yards or 20 touchdowns through the air. If Minnesota is to contend for the playoffs in 2024, Darnold will have to play near the level he showcased in college at USC, which was among the game’s best.ย See which team to pick here.

Why the Giants can cover

Saquon Barkley is gone, which means New York is starting over at running back with free agent signee Devin Singletary. Last year with Houston, Singletary rushed for 898 yards and four touchdowns and should be a solid stopgap for an organization that was seemingly surprised to lose its best offensive weapon. But quarterback Daniel Jones returns after missing most of 2023 due to injury and looks to bring back the magic he showcased two years ago in leading New York to a playoff berth.

In 2022, Jones played in 16 regular season games, throwing for 3,205 yards and 15 scores, with seven more touchdowns on the ground. Last season, the former No. 6 overall pick was healthy for six games, throwing two touchdowns with six interceptions. This is a big year for him as another poor showing will likely force the Giants to move on. Jones finally has a big time wide receiver in his arsenal: Malik Nabers from LSU was drafted as the No. 6 pick in April’s draft and should be targed early and often in New York’s offense.ย See which team to pick here.

How to make Vikings vs. Giants picks

The model has simulated Minnesota vs. New York 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning Under on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits more than 50% of the time. You can only see the model’s Vikings vs. Giants pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Giants vs. Vikings on Sunday, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Giants vs. Vikings spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 181-129 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.

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Author: CBS Sports Staff
September 7, 2024 | 7:05 am

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