Cooper Flagg earned a consensus projection of 5.3 WARP, ranking as the third-best draft prospect since 2005 in statistical analysis that combines NCAA performance with expert rankings.
Flagg trails only Zion Williamson (5.5) and Luka Doncic (5.4) in the comprehensive database covering college players since 2005. The projections incorporate performance in NCAA Division I, G League, and select European leagues, plus age factors.
The 19-year-old stands as the only player in this year’s draft without statistical weaknesses. Flagg projects within 15% of the average NBA-bound college prospect at his position across all 10 key evaluation categories.
Flagg ranks No. 1 in both ESPN’s top 100 prospects and pure statistical projections. His well-rounded profile features six statistical strengths compared to four for Sacramento’s Keegan Murray, the only other recent draftee without weaknesses.
The Dallas Mavericks hold the No. 1 pick and are positioned to compete immediately. Flagg’s NBA-ready skill set aligns with the franchise’s win-now mentality following their recent playoff success.
His versatility as a forward addresses multiple positional needs for Dallas. The consensus projections, which combine statistical analysis with expert rankings, have proven more accurate than pure performance metrics in predicting NBA success.
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June 21, 2025 | 4:30 pm
