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Betting on NBA Comebacks: Game 4 Trends in 2025

Betting on NBA Comebacks: Game 4 Trends in 2025

Because the Playoffs are starting to intensify, Game 4 matters a lot to teams and bettors hoping to notice if the series is turning. Game 4 now gets a lot of betting attention, thanks to comebacks and sharp prop betting, and the current matchups are following suit.

Weโ€™ll take a closer look at how one matchup, like Game 4, is changing betting plans, betting lines, and sportsbook campaigns, especially in the Knicks-Celtics series and top player props.

Why Game 4 Matters More Than You Think

The result of Game 4 tends to decide the overall feeling in the rest of the series. If a team is down 2-1, it needs to win Game 4 to keep from facing the very tough task of coming back from a 3-1 deficit. Because of this pressure, betting lines and prop markets respond as well.

Take the Knicks-Celtics series: The Celtics shot well from three in Game 3โ€”20 of 40 attempts, with Tatum making half of his nine tries. Interestingly, he hasnโ€™t hit his point totals in any of the games so far.

  • Game 1: 18 points
  • Game 2: 13 points
  • Game 3: 22 points

Sportsbooks have put his Game 4 line at 27.5, so some smart bettors like the under once more. Boston usually plays better when Tatum passes more and shoots less, and the Knicks are set to put more pressure on him in Game 4.

Player Props: The New Edge in NBA Betting

These days, making money on player props has become more important than making them as a side bet. Youโ€™ll often find better chances to use trends and minute-based stats in Game 4s.

Consider these player props worth keeping an eye on this week:

Karl-Anthony Towns โ€“ Over 1.5 Three-Pointers Made (+180)

Heโ€™s taken seven three-point shots so far in the series with just one make. Because Boston is paying so much attention to paint defense, Towns could have easier chances from three, particularly with a pick, as long as he sets one up. More people are starting to pay attention to this valuable prop.

Mikal Bridges โ€“ Over 3.5 Assists (+118)

During the playoffs so far, Bridges has stepped up as a playmaker, averaging 4.7 assists every game in Round 2. With the defense focusing on the perimeter, itโ€™s possible heโ€™ll keep making plays for others instead of shooting too much.

Players in fantasy sports and those betting on props will find these situations very useful for finding betting opportunities.

How Teams Adjust Before Game 4

Smart bettors know: Game 4 is where coaching and film study meet desperation.

  • Coaches make their most significant lineup adjustments after three games of exposure.
  • More experienced players are on the court for longer stretches now, based on the best defensive plans.ย 
  • Because of this, we tend to see clear increases in usage for major scorers and backup ball handlers.

In games between the Celtics and Knicks, thereโ€™s a chance for Brunson to get extra chances in isolation, more assists from White, or even improved value on props for players off the bench.


Boost Your Bets

Game 4 is the best day to bet โ€“ and take advantage of sportsbook bonuses.

When you sign up on a different platform, itโ€™s a good idea to use a Stake bonus code. When you make your first deposit, youโ€™ll get extra funds to check out new NBA betting possibilities at this key time.

Live Betting

Placing live wagers during the contest means you can respond to changes in game pace, players in foul trouble, or sudden hot or cold shooting runs. High-minute players, for starters, greatly boost the chances of momentum shifts, bringing out more chances to win.

When Tatum has a slow start, his live under option might be a smarter pick than betting on him ahead of time. When Towns scores a lot early, there are more good prop bets to consider.ย 

A lot of times, profit in big games comes from moving fast instead of only picking winners ahead of tipoff.


Smart Money Loves NBA Game 4s

Within all the commotion of the NBA playoffs, Game 4 tends to reveal the most about teams. This is the time when playersโ€™ tiredness is clear, tendencies become clear, and coaches experiment with lineup changes.

People who monitor fantasy, live odds, and prop plays have a perfect opportunity here to get involved.

So if youโ€™re betting under on Tatum, hoping Towns makes threes, or just loving the chess game, Game 4 is when the playoffs get more focus, and your betting should follow suit.

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Author: Team Dunkest
May 14, 2025 | 9:00 am

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