Cowboys vs. Browns prediction, odds, line, spread, time: 2024 NFL picks, Week 1 best bets from proven model

The NFL Week 1 schedule features a cross-conference matchup between 2023 playoff teams when the Cleveland Browns host the Dallas Cowboys at Huntington Bank Field. The Cowboys won the NFC East with a 12-5 overall record, but lost to the Green Bay Packers on Wild Card Weekend. The Browns went 11-6 and also lost in the Wild Card round in 2023. Cleveland leads the all-time series 18-14. 

Kickoff is scheduled at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday at Huntington Bank Field. Cleveland is favored by 2.5 points in the latest Browns vs. Cowboys odds, and the over/under is 41.5 points. Before making any Browns vs. Cowboys picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 35-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model has set its sights on Browns vs. Cowboys and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 1 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for the game:

• Browns vs. Cowboys spread: Browns -2.5
• Browns vs. Cowboys over/under: 41.5 points
• Browns vs. Cowboys money line: Browns -142, Cowboys +120
• Browns vs. Cowboys picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Cowboys can cover

The Cowboys have one of the NFL’s most explosive offenses. Quarterback Dak Prescott and wide receiver CeeDee Lamb are perennial Pro Bowl candidates, and both are coming off massively productive season in 2023. Prescott threw for 4,516 yards, 36 touchdowns, and nine interceptions, while Lamb caught 135 passes for 1,749 yards, and 12 touchdowns. 

Defensively, the Cowboys have the ability to wreck havoc on opposing offenses with their elite pass rush. All-Pro and Defensive Player of the Year candidate Micah Parsons leads the way for Dallas’ defense. The three-time All-Pro finished with 64 total tackles, 14.0 sacks, and one forced fumble in 2023. See which team to pick here.

Why the Browns can cover

Statistically speaking, the Browns had the NFL’s best defense in 2023. Cleveland allowed a league-best 270.2 total yards per game last season, and they return the bulk of that unit for the 2024 season. Browns DE Myles Garrett is the reigning NFL Defensive Player of the Year, and he presents a significant challenge for Dallas’ offensive line.

Garrett recorded 14 sacks and four forced fumbles in 2023, and Dallas is in the process of rebuilding its offensive line and will be starting a rookie at left tackle in Tyler Guyton. Cleveland also features veterans Shelby Harris, Za’Darius Smith and Dalvin Tomlinson, along what is arguably the best defensive line in the NFL. See which team to pick here. 

How to make Browns vs. Cowboys picks

The model has simulated Browns vs. Cowboys 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over on the point total, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Browns vs. Cowboys in Week 1, and which side of the spread cashes well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Cowboys vs. Browns spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.